The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change

I first was introduced to Al Gore’s Six Drivers while working with him and a small group from the World Economic Forum in Switzerland, hence it was a delight for me to see that he had developed these observations six years later into the book featured here.

Design is not a linear act. It is not relegated to mere widgets and websites, as important as they may be. Design has a larger context, scope, and scale in the 21st Century where most of our actions have systemic impact on the larger world. We are more connected now than ever before, and thus how we “mark out” (design) the world has large-scale ramifications. This global system of ours makes, or ought to make, designers of all of us, whether it’s a new business strategy, a new building project, or even sending a simple text. Everything speaks now to the larger world that we are creating and is being created around us. To bring intent to this process of designing our world is more critical now than ever.

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We do not only design our world, our world designs us. Al Gore’s book “The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change” is one among many important books that can provide a perspective on how the systemic emergence of our actions over the past century is having an impact on our own lives.

  1. Emergence of an interconnected global economy that increasingly operates as an integrated holistic entity
  2. Emergence of planet-wide electronic communications grid connecting the thoughts and feelings of billions of people and linking them to rapidly expanding volumes of data. This includes the emergence of AI and “thinking machines” the most powerful of which are already exceeding human capacity at a growing number of tasks
  3. Emergence of a completely new balance of political, economic, and military power in the world radically different from the ‘equilibrium’ of US global leadership at latter part of 20th C. We are living in a different world in which through technology power is shifting away from centralized governmental bodies to ‘smart mobs’ linked together through emerging social network technology.
  4. Emergence of rapid unsustainable growth: Population, cities, resource consumption, depletion of topsoil, freshwater supplies, pollution flows, and unsustainable economic output
  5. Emergence of revolutionary new set of powerful biological, biochemical, genetic, and materials science technologies that allow us to reconstitute biological ‘matter’, and alter the physical form, traits,  characteristics, and properties of plants, animals, and people. Here we’re talking about the ways in which technology, e.g., will create conditions for humans to enhance their brains and bodies.
  6. Emergence of radically new relationship between aggregate power of human civilization and Earth’s ecological systems, and beginning of massive global transformation of energy, industrial, agricultural, and construction technologies. We have the technologies in place to solve the crises imposed by unsustainable sources of energy, but there is a long way to go before they become socially and politically ubiquitous.

I encourage you to read this book, whether you’re a business owner or executive or social entrepreneur. Use these points to create conversations with your colleagues to help you get a broader scope on your own work and plans for the future. Change is happening quickly. To be on the right side of it, you need to broaden your thinking and how you engage new ideas that may be radically different from your own. This is life in the Knowledge Economy. Al Gore’s book, and others I’ll be posting here, can practically help you.

If you are interested in how innovation, design, and group process can operate from a larger perspective to give you the advantages in your enterprise you’re looking for, then have a look at Kultur Design for more information.

The Shock of the Short Now

Ever feel like things are moving too fast? This, according to the book by Douglas Rushkoff, is called “Present Shock: When Everything Happens Now”. This is an important book for engaging in conversations with friends, colleagues, and clients about the fast-lane of the 21st Century. We are being ever pushed around by the technology we create and upgrade to daily. How do we deal with it? Can we slow the pace of our lives down? And what is the price to be paid?

Rushkoff’s analysis is important as a conversation piece; however, I would off-set it with other books, such as Kurzweil’s “The Singularity is Near” and Nicholas Nassim Taleb’s “The Black Swan”, and Stewart Brand’s “Clock of the Long Now”, i.e., books that have a futural perspective, which Rushkoff’s Razor is too quick to cut off in his unflagging and at times myopic focus on the present.

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How do you plan in the shock of the short now? How do you ensure that your decisions have a future, are viable, will bring you the success you need? These ideas are important aspects of the work of Kultur Design: helping people and organizations become more creative and innovative while navigating these precarious disruptive times.  In the “Present Shock” of our daily work, we do not take ample time for group learning and building plans and conceptual models of what we’ve learned–we are too reactive and not proactive and predictive. In such cases, as Rushkoff’s book helps us understand, we can be swallowed up by the present, and miss the opportunities and disruptions that lie just a little ways ahead.

More reviews in future posts…

Design is a Synthesizing Act

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This quote by famous scientist E.O.Wilson speaks so much about the design process, and why it is so important in the Information Age. As Alan Bloom asked, “With all the information in the world where can wisdom be found”. To design is to take existing information and weave it together in new and relevant ways.

When we at Kultur Design work with clients, we use information as a means for finding the right ideas that will create the solution. Often, groups will sit down in the same way with the same ideas expecting a new solution. This will never happen. You need to have diverse information that people are then brought into to wrestle with. The solutions occur when syntheses emerge among ideas and information that seem divergent. And that’s the main challenge that Wilson, as a biologist, sees: that with all the information in the world, we mostly see difference rather than connectivity. Wisdom is then the ability to see everything being connected and able to act with that knowledge in mind in a way that is responsible and intentional. This requires groups of people to see differently, which the design process creates the condition for.